
Anticipating the US presidential election
Discover how much the result of the US presidential election matters for the economy and markets.
04 October 2024
Welcome to our October edition of “Market Perspectives”, the monthly investment strategy update from Barclays Private Bank.
In our regular chapters below, we look at the impact of the recent US rate cut and forthcoming presidential election on equity investors. With the race for the White House too close to call, volatility will likely stay elevated, calling for well-diversified portfolios.
Bond and equity markets are already anticipating more aggressive cuts this year and beyond. In the equity article we analyse how stocks have typically reacted to the nine US easing cycles seen over the last 50 years.
Meanwhile, our bonds article examines the second-largest US debt market – securitised credit. Opportunities still seem available for investors to lock in yields: those on the US 10-year have usually trended lower, compared to the level seen at the outset of each cycle.
As always, we hope you enjoy the articles, and we thank you for entrusting us with your investments.
Jean-Damien Marie,
Head of Investments, Private Bank
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