Should equity investors worry about surging energy prices?
If a renewed surge in oil prices takes hold, is an equity market sell-off on the cards?
09 October 2023
Welcome to our October edition of “Market Perspectives”, the monthly investment strategy update from Barclays Private Bank.
In our regular chapters below, we examine how the recent surge in oil prices might affect the global economy and financial markets. In equities, could a stock market sell-off be imminent? In analysing historical trends over the last fifty years, sustained periods of elevated fuel costs are frequently followed by stock market retreats, though some sectors can offer refuge.
Turning to bonds, we look at what the effect might be for emerging market debt of US interest rates that are, or are very close to, their peak.
Beyond our usual asset class and financial market analysis, you’ll also find our latest private markets chapter that explores what higher interest rates and plunge in flows of new capital into the asset class means for investors.
As always, we hope you enjoy the articles, and we thank you for entrusting us with your investments.
Jean-Damien Marie,
Head of Investments, Private Bank
If a renewed surge in oil prices takes hold, is an equity market sell-off on the cards?
With US interest rates at, or close, to their peak, might the top in the hiking cycle be a turning point for emerging market bond investors?
As flows into private assets fall from record highs, we unpick the headline data and consider what a more subdued environment could mean for investors.
With the outlook for rates and inflation driving market sentiment, can “quality” stocks, bonds and gold still shine?
Get to the bottom of US private investments, booming Mexican exports to America, small-cap underperformance, Fed rate projections and company debt.
After a strong run this year and with an economy firing on all cylinders, can equities avoid a sell-off?