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Market Perspectives March 2022
07 March 2022
Welcome to the latest edition of “Market Perspectives”, the monthly investment strategy update from Barclays Private Bank, which is also available to download as a PDF at the bottom of this page.
The hint of quicker-than-expected US rate hikes to counter elevated inflation, and a flattening yield curve, are raising concerns of a central bank policy error, or even potential recession, among some investors. In this month’s report, we look at just how likely a recession might be, and what it could mean for equities, bonds, and other asset classes.
Beyond our usual market analysis, our latest sustainability article explores the benefits and practical implications of implementing a net zero portfolio strategy. Furthermore, our behavioural finance piece examines why investors often overreact to unexpected events, and how to stay calm in the face of short-term volatility.
Jean-Damien Marie and Andre Portelli,
Co-Heads of Investment, Private Bank
Insights for March
Focus – Recession
Are recession risks increasing?
The US yield curve is flattening, often a warning of a nearing recession. But, one looks unlikely for now. What might this mean for equity investors?
Equities
Can equities outperform as the yield curve flattens?
Amid volatile equity markets and a more hawkish US Federal Reserve, we explore where the opportunities and risks may lie and why equities still appeal.
Fixed income
What does a flat US yield curve mean for bond investors?
With financial markets volatile and the US central bank ready to launch a rate-hiking cycle, we explore the opportunities and risks that may lie ahead.
Quantitative strategy
Beyond diversification: tail-risk hedging
Portfolio risk is rising as rates and geopolitical risk climb, making diversification key. Tail-risk hedging strategies can help, but execution is crucial.
Investing sustainably
How can you rebuild your portfolio to join the net zero journey?
As temperatures rise, find out how to build net zero portfolios to counter global warming while managing portfolio risk and finding opportunities.
Behavioural finance
Beware of overreacting to sudden, sharp market moves
Investing in market sell-offs can be tough. Avoiding the wrong action is key. Find out more about how cognitive biases might trigger knee-jerk reactions.
Multi-asset portfolio allocation
Multi-asset portfolio allocation
Find out why central bank policy supports “quality” developed market equities and gold, while developed market bonds stand out in debt markets.
India's multi-asset portfolio allocation
Can Indian equities shine during periods of heightened global uncertainty?
Discover the latest investment views of our team in India as they explore local trends covering inflation, equities, debt and more.
All the articles published in Market Perspectives are also available to download here as a PDF: